The Western Zionist ruling class has one main foe that can break its hegemony: China. BRICS’ policy of de-dollarization is the greatest threat to the US.
“Greater Israel” is a religiously motivated project that aligns with the interests of the US ruling class to block China’s influence over the EU and Africa. The threat of China and BRICS to US hegemony means that the Middle East is of vital importance to the US.
Zionist propaganda frequently says: “We must ensure October 7th never happens again.” This is not just propaganda. Built into this slogan is Israel’s strategic plan to dismantle nations that are blocking the expansionist project of Greater Israel. Greater Israel will not tolerate any entity that poses a threat to its expansionist project.
The encirclement of Iran
New Syria’s warlord president, Jolani, repeatedly says Iran’s influence is over. Iranian resistance groups smuggling weapons to Hezbollah have been attacked over 13 times since the takeover of HTS, but Israel is still not satisfied. Israel wants the balkanization of the entire region and is currently attacking Syria military, while imposing a non-weapon zone over half of Damascus. Israel has always claimed to be the protector of the Druze population. Now they are campaigning for Druze autonomy.
Following the regime-change operation in Syria, Russia and Iran signed the Strategic Partnership Treaty in Moscow on 17th January 2025. This treaty was important for Iran’s security. However, it ignited a power contest for nuclear weapons, triggering Saudi Arabia and Turkey.
If Russia supports Iran, a Zionist attack could be manageable. Without Russia’s backing, Iran cannot survive. Even without ground invasion, Israel’s pre-emptive strikes with F35s and bunker-boosting weapons can destroy Iran’s energy architecture. Iran will face economic crises, thus creating the perfect conditions for the fall of Iran.
Destabilisation through ground invasion of Iran is also possible. Recent visits by Pete Hegseth, the new Secretary of Defence for Trump’s administration to USAFRICOM, USINDOPACOM, USSPACECOM, EUCOM, CENTCOM indicate that the US is gearing up for invasion.
Combined, these defence forces make over 200,000 soldiers. Right now, Iran’s CIA backed opposition groups are in training in Iraq, in US bases.
Just days ago, China met with Pakistan to strengthen economic ties. The next day, Trump approved $397 million worth of 85 pcs F16 fighter jets. Separatist group, Jaish al-Adl Balochi will also be supported by the US on the Pakistan border.
Another front to consider is Azerbaijan. Azerbaijan’s president, Ilham Aliyev is a businessman and staunch nationalist. When it comes to Israel he is happy to sell petroleum while Israel is bombing Gaza. It is clear when the time comes he will not be on the side of Iran.
Right now, the US needs to ensure that Russia remains neutral in the event of an attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities in Natanz and Fordow. Neutrality and a commitment to not provide Iran with nuclear bombs is a deal worth brokering for both Russia and the US.
What’s on offer for the deal to succeed? Already we see the US is ready to stop supporting Ukraine. On the 18th February 2025 the U.S. and Russia held high-level talks in Saudi Arabia, normalising diplomatic relations, whereby the lifting of sanctions imposed on Russia and the US’s support for Ukraine are still unfolding. Additionally, the US has allowed Russia to keep bases in Tarsus in Syria. Zelensky was not invited to the party.
It appears that the US is accepting everything that Russia asks for, in exchange that it does not sufficiently support Iran when push comes to shove.
This deal augurs badly for Iran. And while, in the short-term it may be in the interests of Russia, and of progressive humanity, to stop war in Ukraine, what is coming down the train tracks is not good. Israel’s expansionist project continues unabated. There are no eyes on Iran at all. No one is paying attention.
Geopolitics is like a game of chess. The US’s next move will be the deployment of their soldiers to Iran. Meanwhile, there will be no peace in Ukraine, in the short term, despite Trump’s big talk of peace. As this is being written, French and British soldiers are being deployed to Tallinn in Estonia which looks like they will be needed to continue the war with Russia. Keeping Russia busy so they cannot support Iran is a tactical manoeuvre.
Anyhow, Iran can manage to disrupt global oil trade through the Strait of Hormuz. Even in the event of a ground invasion.
Whatever the attack on Iran, the least worst outcome will be an increase in global energy prices. And environmental catastrophe. Worst case scenario: nuclear confrontation.
